Daytona 500

[Maxx40]

Glad the off-season is over and they're back to business.

Got a big card today so I hope the carnage is held to a minimum.

Props

3.00 units Kurt Busch (-115) under 15.5 (@5dimes)
I guess you can say this is my POD. Last 5 starts at Daytona resulted in finishes of 4th, 2nd, 3rd, 41st (took out by Stewart after leading the most laps), and 3rd. Finished 6th in his qualifying race and had the 3rd fastest speed in Happy Hour. If he keeps his nose clean this looks really good.

1.00 unit Jeff Gordon (-135) under 8.5 (@5dimes)
One of my favorites today (and for the 2009), feels he has a lot to prove

1.00 unit David Ragan (-125) under 17.5 (@5dimes)
Has 4 Daytona starts and has finished 12th or better in 3 of those

1.00 unit Kevin Harvick (-130) under 14.5 (@5dimes)
Finished 14th or better in 5 of 6 at Daytona. RCR teams seem to always do well on plate tracks.

Match-Ups (all 1 unit)

AJ Allmendinger (-120) over David Reutimann (@5dimes)
Hope that this Petty team gets sponsorship for the entire year because Allmendinger's progression is really showing.

Robby Gordon (-125) over Sam Hornish (@thegreek)
Really scary taking Gordon but you can't argue with his past history here. 15th or better in 6 consecutive starts.

Elliott Sadler (-120) over Michaael Waltrip (@thegreek)
Another driver who does well here, while Waltrip's better days seem to be behind him

Clint Bowyer (+100) over Jeff Burton (@thegreek)
Bowyer has the best average finish here than any current driver

Mark Martin (-125) over Denny Hamlin (@5dimes)
Maybe a sentimental pick but with Hendrick I think Martin has a good chance to win today while Hamlin's best finish at Daytona is 17th.

Kurt Busch (+105) over Denny Hamlin (@thegreek)
Think we know where I stand here

Kurt Busch (+130) over Jimmie Johnson (@5dimes)
4 finishes of 23rd or worse in the last 5 races here for JJ

Jamie McMurray (-130) over Ryan Newman (@5dimes)
Even though I think McMurray may do very well today, it would take a Herculean effort by Newman's Stewart-Haas team to get a 3rd car ready to be able to compete for a Top 10 finish which I think McMurray is capable of

Outrights

0.50 unit Jeff Gordon (+775) to win (@5dimes)
0.25 unit Mark Martin (+1000) to win (@5dimes)
0.25 unit Kurt Busch (+2250) to win (@thegreek)

A big make or break first week, good luck to everyone!

 

[thinkmcflythink]

Good luck hopefully they get this race in 80% of thunderstorms all day

 

[tlento]

took ky. busch over hamlin for a dollar

 

[KidKash]

maxx- was waiting for your picks. like the kurt prop alot and the mcmurray over newman matchup as well. good luck today

 

[Maxx40]

good luck to you as well, hope we have a good start to the season.

 

[johnboland]

Earnhardt Jr. having problems in pits. Gonna cost him track postion.

 

[Maxx40]

off to a good start

3-1 on props (+3.65 units)
6-2 on match-ups (+3.80 units)
0-3 on outrights (-1.00 unit)

 

[Brotherwo]

what book do you use?

 

[Maxx40]

I almost always list the book beside my plays, as I did above. 5dimes and thegreek are the main two, lookin for a third.

 

[ColonelLingus]

off to a good start

3-1 on props (+3.65 units)
6-2 on match-ups (+3.80 units)
0-3 on outrights (-1.00 unit)

Nice job, Max. I almost had a mega day last Sunday, but that last yellow ruined it. Good luck on your year. I am just getting into NASCAR as I can't stand regular season NBA, NHL, or MLB. I need something to get me through to CFB.

 

[BigPapaPat]

well Nascar will do it for you! I am so pumped for Nascar season, good luck Max

 

[Maxx40]

thanks colonel and bigpappa, hope you guys have a great year and enjoy the season, even though nascar is off to a rocky start with the rain at daytona, i still think its going to be a fun year.

i'm with you colonel, although i do like college basketball, none of the other winter and summer sports do anything for me.

 

[iamunkn0wn]

im with you on your picks, you seriously have the exacxt same favorites as i do. but im using www.sportsbook.com, so perhaps odds might be a little different.